Anticipatory Governance Working Groups (May-July 2011)
I. May 4-5, 2011
II. May 25-26, 2011
III. June 15-16, 2011
IV. July 19-20, 2011
Hosted by Leon Fuerth and the National Defense University
A series of workshops held at the National Defense University (NDU) from April 2011 – July 2011 convened experts from in and outside government to vet and validate and build upon Anticipatory Governance concepts. Participants were mostly from mid- to high- level positions in government, as well as former senior practitioners and some outside experts in subjects such as foresight and network theory. Consistent participation throughout the process came from individuals working at the NSS, DOS, OSD, JCS, DHS, ODNI, and GAO. All workshops operated under Chatham House Rules, meaning participants entered under agreement from all parties that the discussion would be private, comments would not be attributed to individual persons, and it would be assumed that each participant spoke for themselves personally, rather than for any institution
The workshops stress- tested designs for anticipatory governance against a strict set of criteria: they must be very light on resources; executable using existing Presidential authorities and compatible with existing White House processes. They must also be compatible with longer-range, more profound reform involving the Executive Branch as a whole, if and when that becomes possible, and they should be integrated with advanced methodological approaches to foresight and systems operation.
Click here for a compilation of the four workshop series’ materials and discussion
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Fiscal Policy and Alternative Futures for the U.S. (December 2010)
December 10, 2010, 9:00am – 2:00 pm
Hosted by Leon Fuerth at The George Washington University
A half-day workshop to discuss the fiscal crisis and the potential role of linking alternative futures analysis to budgeting.
Click here for Conference Report
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“Futurity in Governance; and Governance in Crisis” (February 2009)
In February 2009, experts from a range of fields convened at the George Washington University to discuss the financial crisis and its implications for the utility of foresight and the practicality of “Anticipatory Governance.”
Click here for the Post-Conference Report
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Working Groups on Societal Tsunamis (April 2007)
In April 2007, the Project on Forward Engagement held a four-day symposium to explore major “societal tsunamis” — potential strategic surprises with the potential to powerfully disrupt governance. The three “Societal Tsunamis” included: (1) Environmental Dislocation (climate change), (2) Evolutionary Secession (converging technologies), and (3) Geopolitical Inversion (Politico-economic power shift to Asia). The 2007 meetings also explored the potential of networked governance as a response to these challenges. They further examined whether complexity theory adds value to characterization of these challenges.
Conference Agenda and Concepts
Conference Issue Sets
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Symposium on Networked Governance (November 2006)
In November 2006, the Project on Forward Engagement the Center for Technology in National Security Policy at the National Defense University held a symposium to explore the concept of “Networked Governance” as a means for a democratic society to enhance its receptiveness to information and better handle complexity.
Click here for the Post-Conference Report
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Congressional Staff Breakfast on Forward Engagement (August 2006)
In August 2006, Professor Fuerth held a breakfast for Congressional staff on Capitol Hill to discuss Forward Engagement.
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Societal Tsunamis I (April 2006)
Hosted by Leon Fuerth (Project on Forward Engagement at The George Washington University)
April 7, 2006, 9:00am – 3:00 pm
Alumni House
1925 F Street, N.W.
George Washington University
Washington, D.C., 20052
Speakers:
- Professor Leon Fuerth, George Washington University
- Clyde Prestowitz, Economic Strategy Institute
- Dr. David Jhirad, World Resources Institute
- Dr. William Bainbridge, National Science Foundation
Conference Background Information
Conference Attendee List
Conference Minutes
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Applied Forecasting: Promises and Performances (March 2006)
Hosted by Dr. Hans Binnendijk (National Defense University) and Professor Leon Fuerth (Project on Forward Engagement at The George Washington University)
March 3, 2006, 8:00 a.m – 5:00 p.m.
National Defense University, Ft. McNair
Washington D.C. 20319
Marshall Hall (building 62) Room 155
Speakers:
- Dr. John Hiles, U.S. Naval Postgraduate School
- Dr. Barry Hughes, University of Denver
- Dr. Nazli Choucri, MIT
- Michael Baranick, Center for Technology and National Security Policy
- Dr. Rob Lempert, RAND/Evolving Logic Inc.
- Joseph Eash, former Deputy Under Secretary for Defense
Conference Attendee List
Conference Key Points
Conference Extended Discussion – Transcript
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Foresight in Governance (October 2005)
Chaired by Professor Leon Fuerth (Project on Forward Engagement at The George Washington University)
October 14, 2005, 10:00 a.m. – 2:30 p.m.
The Elliott School of International Affairs,
The George Washington University
Washington D.C. 20052
Click here for the Conference Attendee List, Key Points, and Discussion
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